KBB Report Shows New Vehicle Prices Continue to Drop

A Kelly Blue Book report shows the U.S. new vehicle market sales pace slowed in January 2024, despite lower prices and higher incentives. The U.S. new vehicle average transaction price (ATP) last month in the U.S. was $47,401, down 3.5% compared to January 2023.

Year-over-year price declines accelerated in January according to the report, as dealers and automakers pulled the discount lever in an effort to maintain the new vehicle sales pace. 

Despite lower prices, the seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR), or sales pace, was 15.0 million in January 2024, down from 16.1 million in December 2023 and below the 15.1 million recorded one year ago in January 2023.

“It’s common to see lower sales in January, as December typically is a hot month for luxury vehicle sales,” said Erin Keating, executive analyst for Cox Automotive. “However, the year-over-year new vehicle ATP decline of 3.5% is notable. Prices have been trending downward for roughly six months now as automakers are sweetening deals to keep the sales flowing.”

Discounts and incentives in January averaged 5.7% of ATP, up from 5.5% in December and higher year over year by nearly 100%. In January 2023, incentive packages averaged just 2.8% of ATP.

Luxury vehicles and full-size pickup trucks had some of the highest discounts in January. Conversely, incentives for small pickups, full-size SUVs and minivans were well below the industry average at less than 3% of ATP.

According to Kelley Blue Book’s analysis, the average price paid for a luxury brand vehicle in January was $60,978, down from $62,834 in December. Luxury car prices in January were down 9.7% year-over-year; luxury compact SUVs saw price declines of 11.9% compared to January 2023.

Sales incentives for luxury vehicles averaged 6.2% of ATP in January, down slightly from December but higher by 123% compared to January 2023. In January 2024, luxury brands accounted for 19.8% of sales, down from 20.6% in December.

Prices for non-luxury brand vehicles also decreased month-over-month in January. At $44,052, non-luxury vehicle prices were lower in January 2024 by 2.1% year-over-year. Incentives for non-luxury vehicles averaged 5.5%. In comparison, one year ago, non-luxury incentives averaged 2.9% of ATP in January 2023.

Cox Automotive and Kelley Blue Book revised the EV transaction price data in January to more accurately capture the expanding electric vehicle market. According to the revised analysis, the average price paid for a new electric vehicle in January 2024 was $55,353.

Year-over-year, EV prices have tumbled 10.8%, according to the most recent analysis. January 2024 EV prices were higher month-over-month by 3.2%, as EV ATPs in December 2023 averaged $53,611, the lowest point in the past 12 months.

“EV prices have come down significantly in the U.S. in the past year, led by price cuts at Tesla,” said Mark Strand, senior director of business intelligence at Cox Automotive. “Our newly revised EV pricing data more accurately reflects the real-world pricing of electric vehicles in the U.S. With new EVs launching into the market seemingly every month, our pricing models have to be continually updated and revised to capture a clear picture of the market.”

EV incentives have jumped more than three-fold in the past year. In January 2023, the VW ID.4 carried an average incentive package equal to approximately 6% of ATP; last month incentives jumped to nearly 17% of ATP. Nissan Leaf saw incentives jump throughout the past year from 8% to nearly 18%; Ariya incentives are higher still. Hyundai Ioniq5 incentives climbed from less than 3% in January 2023 to more than 18% last month, as higher inventory and slowing sales have pushed automakers and dealers to layer on the discounts in an effort to spur sales.

Prices for the Tesla Model Y, the industry’s EV volume leader, have tumbled more than 21% in the past year, falling from nearly $63,000 in January 2023 to less than $50,000 last month.

Full Data tables are available for download here.